It can make an important contribution
Despite the current pause in circumpolar cooperation, the long-term drivers of change in the Arctic are not disappearing. Instead, they are expected to intensify in the coming years and decades.
As confirmed in the recent Sixth IPCC Report on Climate Change Impact, Adaptation and Vulnerability Assessment, the effects of climate change will be increasingly felt and will exacerbate the already high risks to Arctic biodiversity, permafrost and Arctic-based communities. ecosystems.
The current situation, the unprecedented pace of change and the various socio-environmental challenges of Arctic transformation require enhanced international Arctic scientific cooperation and capacities to observe, understand and inform about the impact of ongoing changes.
Long-term monitoring is key to improving understanding of the Arctic and global climate system, including the role of the Arctic Ocean and the dissolution of permafrost. Despite improvements, monitoring initiatives remain rare in Arctic science, and ASM could further support ongoing Arctic observations.
The next ASM could also allow for discussions on future major multinational campaigns in the Arctic. It could probably serve as an important place to promote and prepare the ground for the next International Polar Year (IPY), which could take place in 2032/2033. Preparing and organizing efforts as massive as the IPY requires years of work and planning – and the next ASM could be a significant stepping stone in the process.
As The scale and complexity of Arctic change goes beyond the ability of any individual country or actor to fully understand and prepare for the changes ahead, preserving international scientific cooperation in the Arctic is critical to the well-being of both Arctic and non-Arctic peoples and societies. In times of crisis, this is also more important than ever – and Norway can play an active role in this.